Premier League · Matchweek 1

Fulham FC vs Chelsea FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 24 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Fulham FC win79%
Draw15%
Chelsea FC win7%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals
43%
BTTS yes
39%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
61%
Expected goals
2.42 – 0.55

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–015.0%
  • 1–012.4%
  • 3–012.1%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 4–07.3%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 0–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticFulham FCChelsea FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.401.40
Goals per match1.002.00
Goals conceded per match1.602.40
Home / away goals scored54
Home / away goals conceded77
Last 5 points27
Last 5 goals scored510
Last 5 goals conceded812
Win percentage0%40%

Fulham FC recent form

LLLDD

Chelsea FC recent form

WWLDL

Recent form

Fulham FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Newcastle United FC2–0
  • Dat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–1
  • Lvs AFC Bournemouth0–1
  • Lat Arsenal FC0–3
  • Wvs Aston Villa FC1–0

Chelsea FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat Sunderland AFC1–2
  • Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC2–1
  • Dat Liverpool FC1–1
  • Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–3
  • Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Mon 24 Aug, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 24 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.