Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 23

Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 15 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 23
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Fluminense FC win49%
Draw27%
SE Palmeiras win24%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes
44%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Over 3.5 goals
19%
BTTS no
56%
Expected goals
1.39 – 0.87

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SE Palmeiras have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. SE Palmeiras's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Recent results also favour Fluminense FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.4%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–25.5%
  • 3–04.7%

Team comparison

StatisticFluminense FCSE Palmeiras
Matches played55
Points per match2.001.80
Goals per match2.001.40
Goals conceded per match1.600.40
Home / away goals scored31
Home / away goals conceded11
Last 5 points109
Last 5 goals scored107
Last 5 goals conceded82
Win percentage60%40%

Fluminense FC recent form

WDWLW

SE Palmeiras recent form

WDDWD

Recent form

Fluminense FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs EC Bahia2–0
  • Wat Grêmio FBPA2–1
  • Wvs São Paulo FC6–0
  • Dat SE Palmeiras0–0
  • Wvs Flamengo2–1

SE Palmeiras

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wat Ceará SC3–1
  • Wat CA Mineiro3–0
  • Lat Grêmio FBPA2–3
  • Dvs Fluminense FC0–0
  • Dvs EC Vitória0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.