Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 26
Fluminense FC vs CR Vasco da Gama Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 6 Sept, 01:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 26
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Fluminense FC win73%
Draw14%
CR Vasco da Gama win12%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 79%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 60%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 2.98 – 1.19
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
CR Vasco da Gama have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Fluminense FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.2%
- 3–18.1%
- 2–06.9%
- 3–06.8%
- 4–16.1%
- 1–15.5%
- 4–05.1%
- 2–24.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Fluminense FC | CR Vasco da Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 50% |
Fluminense FC recent form
WDWLW
CR Vasco da Gama recent form
LWLWW
Recent form
Fluminense FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat CA Paranaense3–3
- Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
- Wvs EC Bahia2–0
- Wat Grêmio FBPA2–1
- Wvs São Paulo FC6–0
CR Vasco da Gama
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 15 conceded
- Wvs Cruzeiro EC3–1
- Lat SE Palmeiras1–4
- Lvs Santos FC0–3
- Lat CA Mineiro0–5
- Lvs Mirassol FC0–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.