UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 4

FC Porto vs SSC Napoli Prediction

Wed 4 Nov, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Porto win49%

Draw23%

SSC Napoli win28%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 62%
Under 2.5 goals: 38%
BTTS yes: 62%

Over 1.5 goals: 83%
Over 3.5 goals: 40%
BTTS no: 38%
Expected goals: 1.84 – 1.35

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Porto have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–110.2%
2–19.4%
1–07.6%
2–07.0%
1–26.9%
2–26.3%
3–15.8%
0–15.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	FC Porto	SSC Napoli
Matches played	2	2
Points per match	0.00	0.00
Goals per match	1.00	0.50
Goals conceded per match	2.50	2.00
Home / away goals scored	0	1
Home / away goals conceded	2	3
Last 5 points	0	0
Last 5 goals scored	2	1
Last 5 goals conceded	5	4
Win percentage	0%	0%

FC Porto recent form

SSC Napoli recent form

Recent form

FC Porto

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded

Lat Real Betis Balompié2–3
Wat CS Marítimo2–1
Wvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica3–1
Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
Lvs Manchester City FC0–2

SSC Napoli

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

Lat Villarreal CF1–3
Wvs Frosinone Calcio3–0
Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
Lvs Arsenal FC0–1

Team news

FC Porto

No tracked team news threads open.

All FC Porto news →

SSC Napoli

All SSC Napoli news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.