Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC Prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Lorient win41%

Draw25%

Toulouse FC win34%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 54%
Under 2.5 goals: 46%
BTTS yes: 57%

Over 1.5 goals: 77%
Over 3.5 goals: 31%
BTTS no: 43%
Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.34

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Lorient have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–111.8%
1–08.8%
2–18.8%
0–17.9%
1–27.9%
2–06.6%
0–05.9%
2–25.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	FC Lorient	Toulouse FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.00	1.00
Goals per match	1.00	1.40
Goals conceded per match	1.20	1.80
Home / away goals scored	3	4
Home / away goals conceded	4	4
Last 5 points	5	5
Last 5 goals scored	5	7
Last 5 goals conceded	6	9
Win percentage	20%	20%

FC Lorient recent form

DLWDL

Toulouse FC recent form

LDLDW

Recent form

FC Lorient

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded

Wat Racing Club de Lens1–0
Lvs ES Troyes AC1–2
Dat OGC Nice0–0
Lvs Le Havre AC0–2
Wat FC Metz4–0

Toulouse FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs Lille OSC0–1
Dat Stade Brestois 292–2
Lvs Olympique Lyonnais0–2
Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–1
Wat RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.