Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9
FC Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 2 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Lorient win44%
Draw26%
Stade Brestois 29 win29%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.43 – 1.11
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees FC Lorient's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given FC Lorient's home defensive numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–07.9%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Lorient | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 40% |
FC Lorient recent form
WWDLW
Stade Brestois 29 recent form
WDLWW
Recent form
FC Lorient
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded
- Dat Angers SCO0–0
- Wvs AS Monaco FC1–0
- Wvs Paris FC1–0
- Lat Le Mans FC1–2
- Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
Stade Brestois 29
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs OGC Nice1–2
- Dat Lille OSC1–1
- Wvs Angers SCO5–1
- Lat AJ Auxerre1–2
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 2 November 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.