Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9

FC Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Lorient win40%
Draw24%
Stade Brestois 29 win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.48

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Lorient have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Stade Brestois 29's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 2–05.8%
  • 0–25.2%

Team comparison

StatisticFC LorientStade Brestois 29
Matches played66
Points per match1.331.33
Goals per match1.002.00
Goals conceded per match1.001.50
Home / away goals scored45
Home / away goals conceded45
Last 5 points77
Last 5 goals scored610
Last 5 goals conceded67
Win percentage33%33%

FC Lorient recent form

LWDLW

Stade Brestois 29 recent form

DWLLW

Recent form

FC Lorient

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Paris FC1–0
  • Lat Le Mans FC1–2
  • Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
  • Wat Racing Club de Lens1–0
  • Lvs ES Troyes AC1–2

Stade Brestois 29

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Angers SCO5–1
  • Lat AJ Auxerre1–2
  • Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–1
  • Wat Le Havre AC2–1
  • Dvs Toulouse FC2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
567
1X2 accuracy
46.7%
BTTS accuracy
56.8%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.0%
Exact score
10.9%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.