Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Lorient win28%
Draw26%
AS Monaco FC win46%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.11 – 1.48
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FC Lorient have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. AS Monaco FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AS Monaco FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.3%
- 0–28.2%
- 0–07.5%
- 2–16.8%
- 2–25.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Lorient | AS Monaco FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 40% |
FC Lorient recent form
WWDLW
AS Monaco FC recent form
DLDLD
Recent form
FC Lorient
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Paris FC1–0
- Lat Le Mans FC1–2
- Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
- Wat Racing Club de Lens1–0
- Lvs ES Troyes AC1–2
AS Monaco FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
- Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
- Dat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–1
- Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
- Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.