Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Lorient win23%
Draw24%
AS Monaco FC win53%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.75

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AS Monaco FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AS Monaco FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–29.1%
  • 1–06.4%
  • 2–16.0%
  • 0–05.9%
  • 1–35.7%

Team comparison

StatisticFC LorientAS Monaco FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.002.60
Goals per match1.001.60
Goals conceded per match1.200.60
Home / away goals scored34
Home / away goals conceded42
Last 5 points513
Last 5 goals scored58
Last 5 goals conceded63
Win percentage20%80%

FC Lorient recent form

DLWDL

AS Monaco FC recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

FC Lorient

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Le Mans FC1–2
  • Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
  • Wat Racing Club de Lens1–0
  • Lvs ES Troyes AC1–2
  • Dat OGC Nice0–0

AS Monaco FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
  • Dat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–1
  • Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
  • Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
  • Wat Le Havre AC1–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.