Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6

FC Lorient vs Paris FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Lorient win26%
Draw24%
Paris FC win50%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.73

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Paris FC with an above-average away defensive record. Paris FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–28.2%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–06.4%
  • 2–25.7%
  • 1–35.6%

Team comparison

StatisticFC LorientParis FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.002.20
Goals per match1.001.60
Goals conceded per match1.200.60
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded42
Last 5 points511
Last 5 goals scored58
Last 5 goals conceded63
Win percentage20%60%

FC Lorient recent form

DLWDL

Paris FC recent form

DWWDW

Recent form

FC Lorient

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Le Mans FC1–2
  • Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
  • Wat Racing Club de Lens1–0
  • Lvs ES Troyes AC1–2
  • Dat OGC Nice0–0

Paris FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1
  • Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0–0
  • Wat Olympique de Marseille3–2
  • Wvs OGC Nice3–0
  • Dat ES Troyes AC0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.