Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 1
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 28 Aug, 19:30 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Fri 28 Aug, 20:30 (CEST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 1
- Venue
- Munich, Germany
United Matchday prediction
Bayern Munich win82%
Draw9%
VfB Stuttgart win9%
- Predicted score
- 4–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 96%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 4%
- BTTS yes
- 83%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 99%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 89%
- BTTS no
- 17%
- Expected goals
- 4.73 – 1.82
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Bayern Munich, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. VfB Stuttgart's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Bayern Munich, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 4–15.7%
- 5–15.4%
- 4–25.2%
- 5–24.9%
- 3–14.9%
- 3–24.4%
- 6–14.3%
- 6–23.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayern Munich | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals per match | 3.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 75% | 25% |
Bayern Munich recent form
WDWW
VfB Stuttgart recent form
LWLL
Recent form
Bayern Munich
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs 1. FC Köln5–1
- Wat VfL Wolfsburg1–0
- Dvs Paris Saint-Germain1–1
- Dvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18463–3
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain4–5
VfB Stuttgart
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded
- Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
- Wvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–1
- Dat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–3
- Dvs SV Werder Bremen1–1
- Lat Bayern Munich2–4
Team news
Bayern Munich
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Fri 28 Aug, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 28 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.