Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Bayern Munich vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 4 Dec, 19:30 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Fri 4 Dec, 20:30 (CET)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- Munich, Germany
United Matchday prediction
Bayern Munich win85%
Draw10%
SC Paderborn 07 win5%
- Predicted score
- 3–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 50%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 3.27 – 0.73
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Bayern Munich, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. SC Paderborn 07 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Bayern Munich's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–010.7%
- 2–09.9%
- 4–08.8%
- 3–17.8%
- 2–17.2%
- 4–16.4%
- 1–06.0%
- 5–05.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayern Munich | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.11 |
| Goals per match | 3.22 | 0.89 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.22 |
| Home / away goals scored | 20 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 11 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 15 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 22% |
Bayern Munich recent form
DWWDW
SC Paderborn 07 recent form
LDWDD
Recent form
Bayern Munich
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat 1. FSV Mainz 052–1
- Wat Atlético Madrid2–0
- Dvs Borussia Dortmund2–2
- Wat SC Freiburg3–1
- Dvs Arsenal FC2–2
SC Paderborn 07
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
- Dat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–0
- Wvs Hamburger SV1–0
- Dat SV Werder Bremen2–2
- Lvs VfB Stuttgart0–2
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Fri 4 Dec, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Home
62%
Draw
19%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 65%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.