Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 4
Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 18 Sept, 19:30 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Fri 18 Sept, 20:30 (CEST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- Munich, Germany
United Matchday prediction
Bayern Munich win93%
Draw5%
1. FC Union Berlin win2%
- Predicted score
- 4–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 90%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 10%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 97%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 77%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 4.52 – 0.81
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Bayern Munich, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. 1. FC Union Berlin have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Bayern Munich's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 4–08.8%
- 5–08.0%
- 3–07.8%
- 4–17.1%
- 5–16.4%
- 3–16.3%
- 6–06.0%
- 2–05.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayern Munich | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 2.33 | 0.78 |
| Goals per match | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 20 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 11 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 15 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 11% |
Bayern Munich recent form
DWWDW
1. FC Union Berlin recent form
WDDDL
Recent form
Bayern Munich
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 3 conceded
- Wat SV 07 Elversberg2–1
- Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0
- Dat FC Schalke 040–0
- Wvs VfB Stuttgart5–1
- Wvs 1. FC Köln5–1
1. FC Union Berlin
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded
- Lvs FC Schalke 041–3
- Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–4
- Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
- Wvs FC Augsburg4–0
- Wat 1. FSV Mainz 053–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Fri 18 Sept, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 August 2026
Last updated: 18 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.