Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction

Fri 18 Sept, 19:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 18 Sept, 19:30 (BST)
Kick-off (local): Fri 18 Sept, 20:30 (CEST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: Munich, Germany

United Matchday prediction

Bayern Munich win93%

Draw5%

1. FC Union Berlin win2%

Predicted score: 4–0
Over 2.5 goals: 90%
Under 2.5 goals: 10%
BTTS yes: 55%

Over 1.5 goals: 97%
Over 3.5 goals: 77%
BTTS no: 45%
Expected goals: 4.52 – 0.81

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Bayern Munich, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. 1. FC Union Berlin have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Bayern Munich's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

4–08.8%
5–08.0%
3–07.8%
4–17.1%
5–16.4%
3–16.3%
6–06.0%
2–05.2%

Team comparison

Statistic	Bayern Munich	1. FC Union Berlin
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	2.50	0.25
Goals per match	3.50	1.00
Goals conceded per match	0.50	4.25
Home / away goals scored	12	0
Home / away goals conceded	1	11
Last 5 points	10	1
Last 5 goals scored	14	4
Last 5 goals conceded	2	17
Win percentage	75%	0%

Bayern Munich recent form

WDWW

1. FC Union Berlin recent form

DLLL

Recent form

Bayern Munich

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 3 conceded

Wat SV 07 Elversberg2–1
Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0
Dat FC Schalke 040–0
Wvs VfB Stuttgart5–1
Wvs 1. FC Köln5–1

1. FC Union Berlin

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded

Lvs FC Schalke 041–3
Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–4
Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
Wvs FC Augsburg4–0
Wat 1. FSV Mainz 053–1

Team news

Bayern Munich

Transfer rumors, news: Could Bayern sign Haaland to replace Kane?

All Bayern Munich news →

1. FC Union Berlin

No tracked team news threads open.

All 1. FC Union Berlin news →

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Fri 18 Sept, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.