Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Köln Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 20 Nov, 19:30 (GMT)
Kick-off (local)
Fri 20 Nov, 20:30 (CET)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
Munich, Germany

United Matchday prediction

Bayern Munich win90%
Draw7%
1. FC Köln win3%
Predicted score
3–0
Over 2.5 goals
85%
Under 2.5 goals
15%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
69%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
3.98 – 0.78

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Bayern Munich, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits 1. FC Köln with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Bayern Munich's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–09.2%
  • 4–09.2%
  • 5–07.3%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 4–17.1%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 5–15.7%
  • 2–15.4%

Team comparison

StatisticBayern Munich1. FC Köln
Matches played99
Points per match2.331.00
Goals per match3.221.11
Goals conceded per match1.001.56
Home / away goals scored203
Home / away goals conceded48
Last 5 points115
Last 5 goals scored154
Last 5 goals conceded75
Win percentage67%22%

Bayern Munich recent form

DWWDW

1. FC Köln recent form

WLDDL

Recent form

Bayern Munich

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat 1. FSV Mainz 052–1
  • Wat Atlético Madrid2–0
  • Dvs Borussia Dortmund2–2
  • Wat SC Freiburg3–1
  • Dvs Arsenal FC2–2

1. FC Köln

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2
  • Dat 1. FC Union Berlin1–1
  • Dvs FC Schalke 040–0
  • Lat Eintracht Frankfurt0–1
  • Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Fri 20 Nov, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.