Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

United Matchday prediction

FC Augsburg win40%
Draw22%
FC Schalke 04 win37%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.70

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Augsburg have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Recent results also favour FC Augsburg, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 119.4%
  • 218.3%
  • 127.9%
  • 227.0%
  • 105.5%
  • 015.3%
  • 314.9%
  • 204.9%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.