Bundesliga · Matchweek 5

FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Augsburg win35%
Draw22%
Bayern Munich win44%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
48%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.91

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Bayern Munich with an above-average away defensive record. Bayern Munich carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Bayern Munich arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.8%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–35.4%
  • 0–15.2%
  • 0–25.0%
  • 1–04.6%

Team comparison

StatisticFC AugsburgBayern Munich
Matches played44
Points per match1.752.50
Goals per match2.753.50
Goals conceded per match1.500.50
Home / away goals scored52
Home / away goals conceded21
Last 5 points710
Last 5 goals scored1114
Last 5 goals conceded62
Win percentage50%75%

FC Augsburg recent form

WWDL

Bayern Munich recent form

WDWW

Recent form

FC Augsburg

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat SV Werder Bremen2–3
  • Dvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen2–2
  • Wat Eintracht Frankfurt4–1
  • Wvs FC Schalke 043–0
  • Lat 1. FC Union Berlin0–4

Bayern Munich

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 19 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin7–0
  • Wat SV 07 Elversberg2–1
  • Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0
  • Dat FC Schalke 040–0
  • Wvs VfB Stuttgart5–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.