Bundesliga · Matchweek 3

FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Augsburg win69%

Draw15%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen win16%

Predicted score: 3–1
Over 2.5 goals: 83%
Under 2.5 goals: 17%
BTTS yes: 74%

Over 1.5 goals: 94%
Over 3.5 goals: 67%
BTTS no: 26%
Expected goals: 3.06 – 1.49

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Augsburg's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour FC Augsburg, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

3–17.5%
2–17.4%
4–15.8%
3–25.6%
2–25.5%
3–05.1%
2–05.0%
1–14.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	FC Augsburg	Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.75	1.75
Goals per match	2.75	2.50
Goals conceded per match	1.50	1.25
Home / away goals scored	5	4
Home / away goals conceded	2	5
Last 5 points	7	7
Last 5 goals scored	11	10
Last 5 goals conceded	6	5
Win percentage	50%	50%

FC Augsburg recent form

WWDL

Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form

LWDW

Recent form

FC Augsburg

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 7 conceded

Wat Eintracht Frankfurt4–1
Wvs FC Schalke 043–0
Lat 1. FC Union Berlin0–4
Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–1
Wat SV Werder Bremen3–1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 8 conceded

Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin4–0
Lat SV 07 Elversberg2–3
Dvs Hamburger SV1–1
Lat VfB Stuttgart1–3
Wvs RB Leipzig4–1

Team news

FC Augsburg

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen

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Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.