Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 3
FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Augsburg win69%
Draw15%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win16%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 83%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 67%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 3.06 – 1.49
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FC Augsburg's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour FC Augsburg, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.5%
- 2–17.4%
- 4–15.8%
- 3–25.6%
- 2–25.5%
- 3–05.1%
- 2–05.0%
- 1–14.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Augsburg | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.78 |
| Goals per match | 2.22 | 2.22 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.22 | 1.89 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 14 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 22% | 56% |
FC Augsburg recent form
DLDLL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form
WWLLW
Recent form
FC Augsburg
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 7 conceded
- Wat Eintracht Frankfurt4–1
- Wvs FC Schalke 043–0
- Lat 1. FC Union Berlin0–4
- Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–1
- Wat SV Werder Bremen3–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin4–0
- Lat SV 07 Elversberg2–3
- Dvs Hamburger SV1–1
- Lat VfB Stuttgart1–3
- Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.