Primeira Liga
Moreirense FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
29%
Draw
22%
Away
49%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11
FC Alverca vs Casa Pia AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 7 Nov, 18:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Alverca win57%
Draw25%
Casa Pia AC win18%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS yes
- 44%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 69%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS no
- 56%
- Expected goals
- 1.62 – 0.79
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FC Alverca's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour FC Alverca, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.9%
- 0–17.1%
- 3–06.4%
- 3–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Alverca | Casa Pia AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.67 | 0.57 |
| Goals per match | 1.83 | 0.43 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 2.29 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 14% |
FC Alverca recent form
DLWWW
Casa Pia AC recent form
LDLWL
Recent form
FC Alverca
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat FC Famalicão4–1
- Wvs Rio Ave FC1–0
- Wat CD Nacional3–1
- Lvs Sporting Clube de Braga1–2
- Dvs CD Santa Clara1–1
Casa Pia AC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs CD Santa Clara0–1
- Wat GD Estoril Praia2–1
- Lvs FC Porto1–4
- Dat Vitória SC0–0
- Lvs Moreirense FC0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 672
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.9%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Porto vs GD Estoril Praia
Home
84%
Draw
11%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional
Home
74%
Draw
16%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 50%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga
CS Marítimo vs CD Santa Clara
Home
12%
Draw
19%
Away
68%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.