Premier League · Matchweek 3

Everton FC vs Manchester United FC Prediction

Sun 6 Sept, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 6 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, England

United Matchday prediction

Everton FC win57%

Draw23%

Manchester United FC win20%

Predicted score: 1–0
Over 2.5 goals: 54%
Under 2.5 goals: 46%
BTTS yes: 53%

Over 1.5 goals: 78%
Over 3.5 goals: 32%
BTTS no: 47%
Expected goals: 1.85 – 1.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given Everton FC's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Everton FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–010.8%
1–110.7%
2–09.9%
2–19.9%
3–06.1%
3–16.1%
0–05.8%
0–15.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	Everton FC	Manchester United FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.80	1.00
Goals per match	1.20	1.60
Goals conceded per match	0.60	1.60
Home / away goals scored	5	3
Home / away goals conceded	2	5
Last 5 points	9	5
Last 5 goals scored	6	8
Last 5 goals conceded	3	8
Win percentage	40%	20%

Everton FC recent form

WDDDW

Manchester United FC recent form

LWDLD

Recent form

Everton FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
Wvs Crystal Palace FC2–0
Lat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–1
Lvs Sunderland AFC1–3
Dat Crystal Palace FC2–2

Manchester United FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

Wvs Ipswich Town FC5–2
Lat Hull City AFC0–2
Wat Brighton & Hove Albion FC3–0
Wvs Nottingham Forest FC3–2
Dat Sunderland AFC0–0

Team news

Everton FC

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Manchester United FC

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Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.