Premier League · Matchweek 1

Everton FC vs Crystal Palace FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, England

United Matchday prediction

Everton FC win43%
Draw25%
Crystal Palace FC win32%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.29

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Everton FC and Crystal Palace FC both sit close to the Premier League statistical average, so the model's expectation is driven mainly by home advantage.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–06.9%
  • 0–06.0%
  • 2–25.8%

Team comparison

StatisticEverton FCCrystal Palace FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.800.80
Goals per match1.201.20
Goals conceded per match0.602.20
Home / away goals scored53
Home / away goals conceded24
Last 5 points94
Last 5 goals scored66
Last 5 goals conceded311
Win percentage40%20%

Everton FC recent form

WDDDW

Crystal Palace FC recent form

LLWLD

Recent form

Everton FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–1
  • Lvs Sunderland AFC1–3
  • Dat Crystal Palace FC2–2
  • Dvs Manchester City FC3–3
  • Lat West Ham United FC1–2

Crystal Palace FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lvs Arsenal FC1–2
  • Dat Brentford FC2–2
  • Lat Manchester City FC0–3
  • Dvs Everton FC2–2
  • Lat AFC Bournemouth0–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.