Ligue 1
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs AJ Auxerre
Home
71%
Draw
15%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 82%BTTS: 71%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9
ES Troyes AC vs Le Mans FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
ES Troyes AC win30%
Draw22%
Le Mans FC win48%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS yes
- 68%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS no
- 32%
- Expected goals
- 1.55 – 2.00
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees ES Troyes AC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. Le Mans FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.9%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 2–16.9%
- 1–35.9%
- 0–25.7%
- 0–15.7%
- 2–34.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | ES Troyes AC | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 0.80 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 17% |
ES Troyes AC recent form
DWLLL
Le Mans FC recent form
LDDWL
Recent form
ES Troyes AC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Angers SCO0–2
- Lat Lille OSC0–2
- Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–6
- Wat FC Lorient2–1
- Dvs Paris FC0–0
Le Mans FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain1–3
- Wvs FC Lorient2–1
- Dvs Racing Club de Lens2–2
- Dat OGC Nice1–1
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 570
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.7%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.7%
- Exact score
- 10.9%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Racing Club de Lens
Home
25%
Draw
21%
Away
54%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 66%BTTS: 64%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC
Home
28%
Draw
26%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
Home
52%
Draw
19%
Away
29%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 76%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.