Primera Division
RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés
Home
50%
Draw
27%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 44%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 11
Elche CF vs Valencia CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Elche CF win38%
Draw26%
Valencia CF win36%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.39 – 1.35
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Elche CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–08.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–06.4%
- 2–06.2%
- 0–25.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Elche CF | Valencia CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| Goals per match | 1.38 | 0.57 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.13 | 1.86 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 13% | 14% |
Elche CF recent form
LDLWD
Valencia CF recent form
LLLWL
Recent form
Elche CF
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
- Wat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona3–1
- Lvs Real Madrid2–3
- Dat Athletic Club1–1
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
Valencia CF
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
- Wat Deportivo Alavés1–0
- Lat Sevilla FC0–1
- Lvs Barcelona0–5
- Lat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 590
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.0%
- Exact score
- 10.8%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
62%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF
Home
46%
Draw
22%
Away
33%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 70%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Balompié
Home
44%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.