Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 24
EC Vitória vs EC Bahia Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 23 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 24
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
EC Vitória win47%
Draw22%
EC Bahia win30%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 1.88 – 1.47
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
EC Bahia have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. EC Bahia carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour EC Vitória, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.6%
- 2–06.2%
- 3–15.7%
- 0–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | EC Vitória | EC Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.17 | 2.17 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 67% |
EC Vitória recent form
LLWDL
EC Bahia recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
EC Vitória
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Botafogo FR1–0
- Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
- Lat RB Bragantino0–4
- Wvs Mirassol FC2–0
- Wat SC Recife3–1
EC Bahia
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Chapecoense AF3–3
- Lat Fluminense FC0–2
- Wvs SC Recife2–0
- Dat EC Juventude1–1
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama1–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.