Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 24

EC Vitória vs EC Bahia Prediction

United Matchday prediction

EC Vitória win46%
Draw29%
EC Bahia win26%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes
42%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
58%
Expected goals
1.28 – 0.88

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees EC Vitória's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given EC Vitória's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour EC Vitória, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1014.8%
  • 1113.0%
  • 0011.5%
  • 0110.1%
  • 209.5%
  • 218.3%
  • 125.7%
  • 024.4%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.