Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 23
EC Vitória vs Botafogo FR Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 16 Aug, 22:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 23
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
EC Vitória win23%
Draw27%
Botafogo FR win50%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS yes
- 45%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 68%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS no
- 55%
- Expected goals
- 0.90 – 1.44
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees EC Vitória's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. The model credits Botafogo FR with an above-average away defensive record. Botafogo FR carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.9%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–210.0%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–15.6%
- 0–34.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | EC Vitória | Botafogo FR |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.17 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 0 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 14% |
EC Vitória recent form
LLWDL
Botafogo FR recent form
LDDWL
Recent form
EC Vitória
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
- Lat RB Bragantino0–4
- Wvs Mirassol FC2–0
- Wat SC Recife3–1
- Dat SE Palmeiras0–0
Botafogo FR
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs Fortaleza EC4–2
- Dat Cruzeiro EC2–2
- Dat SC Corinthians Paulista2–2
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA3–2
- Wvs SC Recife3–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
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Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Draw
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Away
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60%
Draw
19%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.