Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 31

EC Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 01:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 31
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

EC Bahia win26%
Draw19%
Flamengo win55%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
1.66 – 2.42

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour EC Bahia, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits Flamengo with an above-average away defensive record. Flamengo carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 1–36.6%
  • 2–15.6%
  • 2–35.5%
  • 0–24.9%
  • 0–14.1%

Team comparison

StatisticEC BahiaFlamengo
Matches played67
Points per match2.172.57
Goals per match2.332.29
Goals conceded per match1.670.71
Home / away goals scored57
Home / away goals conceded33
Last 5 points1215
Last 5 goals scored1110
Last 5 goals conceded72
Win percentage67%86%

EC Bahia recent form

WWWWL

Flamengo recent form

WWWWW

Recent form

EC Bahia

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat CA Paranaense1–2
  • Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wat RB Bragantino3–2
  • Wvs SC Internacional3–2
  • Wat EC Vitória2–0

Flamengo

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs RB Bragantino2–1
  • Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
  • Wat Clube do Remo1–0
  • Wvs Mirassol FC2–0
  • Wvs Botafogo FR3–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.