Championship · Matchweek 14

Derby County FC vs Norwich City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Derby County FC win28%
Draw23%
Norwich City FC win49%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Under 2.5 goals
39%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
39%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.81

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Derby County FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Norwich City FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Norwich City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 0–27.0%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 1–05.7%
  • 1–35.7%

Team comparison

StatisticDerby County FCNorwich City FC
Matches played88
Points per match0.751.13
Goals per match0.882.00
Goals conceded per match1.632.13
Home / away goals scored47
Home / away goals conceded911
Last 5 points26
Last 5 goals scored312
Last 5 goals conceded812
Win percentage13%38%

Derby County FC recent form

LLLDD

Norwich City FC recent form

WWLLL

Recent form

Derby County FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Wrexham AFC1–1
  • Dat Burnley FC1–1
  • Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
  • Lat West Ham United FC0–3

Norwich City FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat Swansea City AFC1–2
  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–4
  • Lat Middlesbrough FC3–4
  • Wvs Birmingham City FC2–1
  • Wat Sheffield United FC3–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 October 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
626
1X2 accuracy
46.8%
BTTS accuracy
56.7%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.5%
Exact score
11.0%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.