Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 8
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Crystal Palace FC win27%
Draw20%
Newcastle United FC win54%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 1.64 – 2.36
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Newcastle United FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.4%
- 1–17.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–36.6%
- 2–15.8%
- 2–35.4%
- 0–25.1%
- 0–14.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Crystal Palace FC | Newcastle United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 40% |
Crystal Palace FC recent form
LLWLD
Newcastle United FC recent form
DWDLW
Recent form
Crystal Palace FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded
- Dat Leeds United FC0–0
- Lvs Ipswich Town FC2–3
- Wat Fulham FC3–2
- Lvs Manchester City FC1–4
- Lat Everton FC0–2
Newcastle United FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Hull City AFC2–1
- Lat Leeds United FC1–4
- Dvs AFC Bournemouth2–2
- Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC2–0
- Dvs Liverpool FC2–2
Team news
Newcastle United FC
- Aston Villa sign Mbaye and Harwood-Bellis as Newcastle get Fernandez-Pardo
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo transfer news: Newcastle closing in on deal to sign Lille forward ahead of transfer dea
- Newcastle have a long-standing interest in Fernandez-Pardo
- Francisco Moreno: Pumas prop joins Newcastle Red Bulls on one-year deal
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 512
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.1%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
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Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
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Draw
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Away
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Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.