Premier League · Matchweek 2

Crystal Palace FC vs Manchester City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 28 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Crystal Palace FC win38%
Draw24%
Manchester City FC win38%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals
43%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.48

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Crystal Palace FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Manchester City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Manchester City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 2–05.7%
  • 0–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticCrystal Palace FCManchester City FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.803.00
Goals per match1.202.60
Goals conceded per match2.201.00
Home / away goals scored35
Home / away goals conceded71
Last 5 points415
Last 5 goals scored613
Last 5 goals conceded115
Win percentage20%100%

Crystal Palace FC recent form

LLWLD

Manchester City FC recent form

WWWWW

Recent form

Crystal Palace FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Everton FC0–2
  • Lvs Arsenal FC1–2
  • Dat Brentford FC2–2
  • Lat Manchester City FC0–3
  • Dvs Everton FC2–2

Manchester City FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs AFC Bournemouth2–1
  • Lvs Aston Villa FC1–2
  • Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
  • Wvs Crystal Palace FC3–0
  • Wvs Brentford FC3–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Fri 28 Aug, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 28 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.