Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 23

CR Vasco da Gama vs Santos FC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

CR Vasco da Gama win18%
Draw19%
Santos FC win62%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
63%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
47%
BTTS no
37%
Expected goals
1.20 – 2.32

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Santos FC with an above-average away defensive record. Santos FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Santos FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 129.6%
  • 118.3%
  • 028.0%
  • 137.4%
  • 016.9%
  • 036.2%
  • 225.7%
  • 214.9%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.