Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 23
CR Vasco da Gama vs Santos FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 16 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 23
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CR Vasco da Gama win18%
Draw19%
Santos FC win62%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.20 – 2.32
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Santos FC with an above-average away defensive record. Santos FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Santos FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.6%
- 1–18.3%
- 0–28.0%
- 1–37.4%
- 0–16.9%
- 0–36.2%
- 2–25.7%
- 2–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CR Vasco da Gama | Santos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 11 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 83% |
CR Vasco da Gama recent form
LWLWW
Santos FC recent form
DWWWW
Recent form
CR Vasco da Gama
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat CA Mineiro0–5
- Lvs Mirassol FC0–2
- Wvs SC Internacional5–1
- Lat EC Bahia0–1
- Lat Grêmio FBPA0–2
Santos FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs Cruzeiro EC3–0
- Wat EC Juventude3–0
- Wvs SC Recife3–0
- Dat SC Internacional1–1
- Dvs Mirassol FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
19%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.