Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 25
CR Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro EC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 30 Aug, 01:20 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 25
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CR Vasco da Gama win12%
Draw16%
Cruzeiro EC win72%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 0.92 – 2.51
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees CR Vasco da Gama's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Cruzeiro EC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.2%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–38.6%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–37.9%
- 1–17.5%
- 0–45.4%
- 1–44.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CR Vasco da Gama | Cruzeiro EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 11 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 67% |
CR Vasco da Gama recent form
LWLWW
Cruzeiro EC recent form
WLWLW
Recent form
CR Vasco da Gama
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 15 conceded
- Lat SE Palmeiras1–4
- Lvs Santos FC0–3
- Lat CA Mineiro0–5
- Lvs Mirassol FC0–2
- Wvs SC Internacional5–1
Cruzeiro EC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Flamengo2–1
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
- Lat Santos FC0–3
- Dvs Botafogo FR2–2
- Dat Ceará SC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.