Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 4

Flamengo vs Mirassol FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 2 Sept, 23:30 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Wed 2 Sept, 19:30 (GMT-3)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

United Matchday prediction

Flamengo win71%
Draw17%
Mirassol FC win12%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
2.41 – 0.88

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Flamengo have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given Flamengo's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Flamengo, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.9%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 3–08.7%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 3–17.7%
  • 4–05.3%
  • 4–14.6%

Team comparison

StatisticFlamengoMirassol FC
Matches played77
Points per match2.571.29
Goals per match2.291.29
Goals conceded per match0.711.71
Home / away goals scored93
Home / away goals conceded24
Last 5 points158
Last 5 goals scored107
Last 5 goals conceded26
Win percentage86%29%

Flamengo recent form

WWWWW

Mirassol FC recent form

DLWDW

Recent form

Flamengo

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Botafogo FR3–0
  • Lat Cruzeiro EC1–2
  • Wat Mirassol FC5–1
  • Dat Mirassol FC3–3
  • Wvs Ceará SC1–0

Mirassol FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs SE Palmeiras1–1
  • Dat Santos FC1–1
  • Lvs Flamengo1–5
  • Dvs Flamengo3–3
  • Wat CR Vasco da Gama2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 24 August 2026
Last updated: 2 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.