Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 25

Flamengo vs Botafogo FR Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 30 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sun 30 Aug, 16:00 (GMT-3)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 25
Venue
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

United Matchday prediction

Flamengo win62%
Draw20%
Botafogo FR win18%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.02

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Flamengo, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 3–06.8%
  • 2–25.1%
  • 1–24.9%

Team comparison

StatisticFlamengoBotafogo FR
Matches played77
Points per match2.570.71
Goals per match2.290.86
Goals conceded per match0.711.71
Home / away goals scored90
Home / away goals conceded26
Last 5 points155
Last 5 goals scored104
Last 5 goals conceded28
Win percentage86%14%

Flamengo recent form

WWWWW

Botafogo FR recent form

LDDWL

Recent form

Flamengo

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Cruzeiro EC1–2
  • Wat Mirassol FC5–1
  • Dat Mirassol FC3–3
  • Wvs Ceará SC1–0
  • Dat CA Mineiro1–1

Botafogo FR

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs CA Paranaense2–3
  • Lat EC Vitória0–1
  • Wvs Fortaleza EC4–2
  • Dat Cruzeiro EC2–2
  • Dat SC Corinthians Paulista2–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.