Premier League · Matchweek 8

Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
Stamford Bridge, London, England

United Matchday prediction

Chelsea FC win66%
Draw19%
Tottenham Hotspur FC win15%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
2.23 – 0.97

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Chelsea FC's home scoring output above the Premier League average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 3–07.5%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 2–24.8%
  • 1–24.3%

Team comparison

StatisticChelsea FCTottenham Hotspur FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.400.40
Goals per match2.000.40
Goals conceded per match2.401.60
Home / away goals scored60
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points72
Last 5 goals scored102
Last 5 goals conceded128
Win percentage40%0%

Chelsea FC recent form

WWLDL

Tottenham Hotspur FC recent form

LLDDL

Recent form

Chelsea FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat Brentford FC0–3
  • Dvs Hull City AFC2–2
  • Lat Arsenal FC1–2
  • Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC4–3
  • Wat Fulham FC3–2

Tottenham Hotspur FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Aston Villa FC2–3
  • Dvs Everton FC0–0
  • Dat Nottingham Forest FC0–0
  • Lvs Newcastle United FC0–2
  • Lat Brentford FC0–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.