Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 2
Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 30 Aug, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Chelsea FC win47%
Draw20%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win33%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 80%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS yes
- 78%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 62%
- BTTS no
- 22%
- Expected goals
- 2.33 – 1.96
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Brighton & Hove Albion FC with an above-average away defensive record. Brighton & Hove Albion FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.3%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–16.2%
- 1–26.1%
- 3–15.7%
- 3–25.6%
- 2–34.7%
- 1–34.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Chelsea FC | Brighton & Hove Albion FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 16 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 60% |
Chelsea FC recent form
WWLDL
Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form
WLDWW
Recent form
Chelsea FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded
- Wat Fulham FC3–2
- Lat Sunderland AFC1–2
- Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC2–1
- Dat Liverpool FC1–1
- Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–3
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Aston Villa FC4–0
- Lvs Manchester United FC0–3
- Lat Leeds United FC0–1
- Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC3–0
- Lat Newcastle United FC1–3
Team news
Chelsea FC
- Premier League: 10 things to look out for this weekend
- Transfer rumors, news: Chelsea join race to sign Monaco's Camara
- Lamine Camara: Monaco pull out of selling midfielder to Chelsea in £47m deal after Blues agreed deal for Enzo
- ‘A great feeling’: Mykhailo Mudryk seals loan move from Chelsea to Tottenham
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 30 Aug, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.