Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 24
Chapecoense AF vs São Paulo FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 23 Aug, 22:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 24
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Chapecoense AF win41%
Draw24%
São Paulo FC win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.65 – 1.51
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Chapecoense AF have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.6%
- 0–16.4%
- 2–05.8%
- 0–24.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Chapecoense AF | São Paulo FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 0 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 50% |
Chapecoense AF recent form
WLWLD
São Paulo FC recent form
LWWLW
Recent form
Chapecoense AF
0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 3 scored, 3 conceded
- Dvs EC Bahia3–3
São Paulo FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded
- Dvs Coritiba FBC1–1
- Lat EC Vitória0–1
- Wvs SC Internacional3–0
- Lat Fluminense FC0–6
- Wvs EC Juventude2–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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60%
Draw
19%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.