Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 23
Chapecoense AF vs EC Bahia Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 16 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 23
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Chapecoense AF win53%
Draw25%
EC Bahia win23%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 74%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 27%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.65 – 1.00
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–09.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.1%
- 0–17.1%
- 1–25.8%
- 3–05.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Chapecoense AF | EC Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.17 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 67% |
Chapecoense AF recent form
WLWLD
EC Bahia recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
Chapecoense AF
No recent completed fixtures on record.
EC Bahia
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Fluminense FC0–2
- Wvs SC Recife2–0
- Dat EC Juventude1–1
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama1–0
- Lvs Fortaleza EC2–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Home
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Draw
23%
Away
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SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.