Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11

CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CF Estrela da Amadora win9%
Draw13%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win78%
Predicted score
1–3
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
1.06 – 3.11

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Sport Lisboa e Benfica with an above-average away defensive record. Sport Lisboa e Benfica carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sport Lisboa e Benfica arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–38.3%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 0–37.8%
  • 0–27.5%
  • 1–46.4%
  • 0–46.1%
  • 1–15.1%
  • 0–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticCF Estrela da AmadoraSport Lisboa e Benfica
Matches played67
Points per match1.332.57
Goals per match1.673.14
Goals conceded per match1.830.71
Home / away goals scored415
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points512
Last 5 goals scored713
Last 5 goals conceded94
Win percentage33%86%

CF Estrela da Amadora recent form

DWDLL

Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form

WWWLW

Recent form

CF Estrela da Amadora

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat FC Arouca0–1
  • Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–2
  • Dat Rio Ave FC3–3
  • Wvs Sporting Clube de Braga2–1
  • Dvs FC Famalicão2–2

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Vitória SC2–0
  • Lat FC Porto1–3
  • Wvs Gil Vicente FC3–1
  • Wat Moreirense FC4–0
  • Wat CS Marítimo3–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
711
1X2 accuracy
48.0%
BTTS accuracy
56.1%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.5%
Exact score
10.4%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.