Primeira Liga · Matchweek 10

Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Portugal Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 30 Oct, 20:15 (GMT+0)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Casa Pia AC win3%
Draw7%
Sporting Clube de Portugal win90%
Predicted score
0–3
Over 2.5 goals
80%
Under 2.5 goals
20%
BTTS yes
46%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
Over 3.5 goals
62%
BTTS no
54%
Expected goals
0.65 – 3.67

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Casa Pia AC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sporting Clube de Portugal have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sporting Clube de Portugal's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–311.1%
  • 0–410.2%
  • 0–29.1%
  • 0–57.5%
  • 1–37.2%
  • 1–46.6%
  • 1–25.9%
  • 0–15.0%

Team comparison

StatisticCasa Pia ACSporting Clube de Portugal
Matches played66
Points per match0.672.33
Goals per match0.502.50
Goals conceded per match2.500.83
Home / away goals scored18
Home / away goals conceded122
Last 5 points411
Last 5 goals scored312
Last 5 goals conceded84
Win percentage17%67%

Casa Pia AC recent form

LLDLW

Sporting Clube de Portugal recent form

WWDDW

Recent form

Casa Pia AC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat GD Estoril Praia2–1
  • Lvs FC Porto1–4
  • Dat Vitória SC0–0
  • Lvs Moreirense FC0–1
  • Lat Gil Vicente FC0–2

Sporting Clube de Portugal

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Sporting Clube de Braga3–1
  • Dvs FC Arouca2–2
  • Dat FC Famalicão1–1
  • Wvs Galatasaray3–1
  • Wvs CD Nacional2–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
529
1X2 accuracy
46.7%
BTTS accuracy
57.1%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.4%
Exact score
11.0%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.