Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8
FC Famalicão vs FC Alverca Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 12 Oct, 20:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Famalicão win38%
Draw26%
FC Alverca win36%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.38 – 1.33
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FC Famalicão have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against FC Alverca, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. FC Famalicão's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–06.7%
- 2–06.3%
- 0–25.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Famalicão | FC Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals per match | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 17% | 40% |
FC Famalicão recent form
LDDDW
FC Alverca recent form
LDLWW
Recent form
FC Famalicão
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat CD Nacional4–0
- Dvs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–1
- Dat CF Estrela da Amadora2–2
- Dvs Gil Vicente FC0–0
- Lat CD Santa Clara0–1
FC Alverca
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Rio Ave FC1–0
- Wat CD Nacional3–1
- Lvs Sporting Clube de Braga1–2
- Dvs CD Santa Clara1–1
- Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 21 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.