Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 25

CA Paranaense vs Fluminense FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 30 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 25
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CA Paranaense win41%
Draw21%
Fluminense FC win38%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Under 2.5 goals
27%
BTTS yes
72%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
52%
BTTS no
28%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.86

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour CA Paranaense, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 3–15.0%
  • 1–34.7%
  • 3–24.7%
  • 2–34.5%

Team comparison

StatisticCA ParanaenseFluminense FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.602.00
Goals per match2.402.00
Goals conceded per match2.401.60
Home / away goals scored57
Home / away goals conceded47
Last 5 points810
Last 5 goals scored1210
Last 5 goals conceded128
Win percentage40%60%

CA Paranaense recent form

WDLDW

Fluminense FC recent form

WDWLW

Recent form

CA Paranaense

1W 0D 0L in the last 1 · 3 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wat Botafogo FR3–2

Fluminense FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wvs EC Bahia2–0
  • Wat Grêmio FBPA2–1
  • Wvs São Paulo FC6–0
  • Dat SE Palmeiras0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.