Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 25

CA Mineiro vs EC Vitória Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 22:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 25
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CA Mineiro win58%
Draw23%
EC Vitória win19%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.88

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates CA Mineiro's home scoring output above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average. The model expects fewer away goals given CA Mineiro's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour CA Mineiro, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.5%
  • 2–011.0%
  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–07.0%
  • 3–06.5%
  • 0–16.2%
  • 3–15.8%

Team comparison

StatisticCA MineiroEC Vitória
Matches played66
Points per match1.831.17
Goals per match1.501.00
Goals conceded per match0.831.50
Home / away goals scored93
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points84
Last 5 goals scored65
Last 5 goals conceded59
Win percentage50%33%

CA Mineiro recent form

DWLWD

EC Vitória recent form

LLWDL

Recent form

CA Mineiro

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat SC Internacional0–0
  • Wvs Grêmio FBPA3–0
  • Wvs CR Vasco da Gama5–0
  • Lvs SE Palmeiras0–3
  • Lat Fortaleza EC0–1

EC Vitória

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lvs EC Bahia0–2
  • Wvs Botafogo FR1–0
  • Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
  • Lat RB Bragantino0–4
  • Wvs Mirassol FC2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.