Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 3
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Leeds United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win55%
Draw22%
Leeds United FC win23%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 1.93 – 1.16
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Brighton & Hove Albion FC's home scoring output above the Premier League average. Leeds United FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Leeds United FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–16.3%
- 1–25.9%
- 2–25.7%
- 3–05.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | Leeds United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 16 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 40% |
Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form
WLDWW
Leeds United FC recent form
WDDWD
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Chelsea FC3–4
- Wvs Aston Villa FC4–0
- Lvs Manchester United FC0–3
- Lat Leeds United FC0–1
- Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC3–0
Leeds United FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs Brentford FC1–1
- Wat Nottingham Forest FC1–0
- Lat West Ham United FC0–3
- Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–0
- Dat Tottenham Hotspur FC1–1
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
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- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
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Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
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Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.