Premier League · Matchweek 1

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 23 Aug, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Brighton & Hove Albion FC win79%
Draw16%
Aston Villa FC win5%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes
25%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
75%
Expected goals
2.12 – 0.34

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–019.2%
  • 1–018.1%
  • 3–013.6%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 4–07.2%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–16.2%
  • 3–14.6%

Team comparison

StatisticBrighton & Hove Albion FCAston Villa FC
Matches played55
Points per match2.000.80
Goals per match3.200.80
Goals conceded per match1.001.80
Home / away goals scored83
Home / away goals conceded16
Last 5 points104
Last 5 goals scored164
Last 5 goals conceded59
Win percentage60%20%

Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form

WLDWW

Aston Villa FC recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Manchester United FC0–3
  • Lat Leeds United FC0–1
  • Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC3–0
  • Lat Newcastle United FC1–3
  • Wvs Chelsea FC3–0

Aston Villa FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat Manchester City FC2–1
  • Wvs Liverpool FC4–2
  • Dat Burnley FC2–2
  • Lvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1–2
  • Lat Fulham FC0–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 23 Aug, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.