Premier League · Matchweek 3

Brentford FC vs Sunderland AFC Prediction

Sat 5 Sept, 15:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Brentford FC win66%

Draw19%

Sunderland AFC win15%

Predicted score: 2–0
Over 2.5 goals: 61%
Under 2.5 goals: 39%
BTTS yes: 55%

Over 1.5 goals: 82%
Over 3.5 goals: 39%
BTTS no: 45%
Expected goals: 2.21 – 0.96

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Brentford FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Brentford FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–010.2%
2–19.9%
1–09.3%
1–18.9%
3–07.5%
3–17.3%
2–24.7%
1–24.3%

Team comparison

Statistic	Brentford FC	Sunderland AFC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.80	0.80
Goals per match	2.00	1.20
Goals conceded per match	0.80	2.00
Home / away goals scored	7	5
Home / away goals conceded	1	8
Last 5 points	9	4
Last 5 goals scored	10	6
Last 5 goals conceded	4	10
Win percentage	40%	20%

Brentford FC recent form

WDDDW

Sunderland AFC recent form

LWDLL

Recent form

Brentford FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

Dat Leeds United FC1–1
Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC3–0
Dat Liverpool FC1–1
Dvs Crystal Palace FC2–2
Lat Manchester City FC0–3

Sunderland AFC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded

Wvs Fulham FC1–0
Lat Ipswich Town FC1–2
Wvs Chelsea FC2–1
Wat Everton FC3–1
Dvs Manchester United FC0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.