Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Borussia Mönchengladbach win37%
Draw19%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win44%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
86%
Under 2.5 goals
14%
BTTS yes
83%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
71%
BTTS no
17%
Expected goals
2.30 – 2.52

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–25.9%
  • 2–35.7%
  • 2–15.4%
  • 3–25.2%
  • 1–34.9%
  • 1–14.7%
  • 3–34.4%

Team comparison

StatisticBorussia MönchengladbachTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Matches played44
Points per match0.000.75
Goals per match1.501.75
Goals conceded per match4.002.50
Home / away goals scored63
Home / away goals conceded86
Last 5 points03
Last 5 goals scored67
Last 5 goals conceded1610
Win percentage0%25%

Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form

LLLL

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim recent form

LLWL

Recent form

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 16 conceded

  • Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 053–4
  • Lat SC Freiburg0–5
  • Lvs SV 07 Elversberg3–4
  • Lat RB Leipzig0–3
  • Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim4–0

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 14 conceded

  • Lat SC Paderborn 071–3
  • Wvs VfB Stuttgart2–1
  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund2–3
  • Lat 1. FC Köln2–3
  • Lat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–4

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.