Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Borussia Mönchengladbach win36%
Draw18%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win45%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
87%
Under 2.5 goals
13%
BTTS yes
83%
Over 1.5 goals
96%
Over 3.5 goals
72%
BTTS no
17%
Expected goals
2.32 – 2.59

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–26.7%
  • 2–35.8%
  • 1–25.8%
  • 3–25.2%
  • 2–15.2%
  • 1–35.0%
  • 3–34.5%
  • 1–14.4%

Team comparison

StatisticBorussia MönchengladbachTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Matches played99
Points per match0.441.33
Goals per match1.331.78
Goals conceded per match2.781.89
Home / away goals scored75
Home / away goals conceded109
Last 5 points49
Last 5 goals scored69
Last 5 goals conceded97
Win percentage11%44%

Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form

LLWDL

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim recent form

LWWLW

Recent form

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 18 conceded

  • Lat 1. FC Köln1–2
  • Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 053–4
  • Lat SC Freiburg0–5
  • Lvs SV 07 Elversberg3–4
  • Lat RB Leipzig0–3

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lvs Hamburger SV2–3
  • Lat SC Paderborn 071–3
  • Wvs VfB Stuttgart2–1
  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund2–3
  • Lat 1. FC Köln2–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.