Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Sat 19 Sept, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Borussia Mönchengladbach win14%

Draw13%

1. FSV Mainz 05 win73%

Predicted score: 1–3
Over 2.5 goals: 89%
Under 2.5 goals: 11%
BTTS yes: 78%

Over 1.5 goals: 96%
Over 3.5 goals: 76%
BTTS no: 22%
Expected goals: 1.62 – 3.56

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

1. FSV Mainz 05 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. 1. FSV Mainz 05's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–36.9%
1–46.2%
1–25.8%
2–35.6%
2–45.0%
2–24.7%
1–54.4%
0–34.3%

Team comparison

Statistic	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1. FSV Mainz 05
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	0.00	1.75
Goals per match	1.50	2.50
Goals conceded per match	4.00	1.50
Home / away goals scored	6	9
Home / away goals conceded	8	3
Last 5 points	0	7
Last 5 goals scored	6	10
Last 5 goals conceded	16	6
Win percentage	0%	50%

Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form

LLLL

1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form

DWLW

Recent form

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 15 conceded

Lat SC Freiburg0–5
Lvs SV 07 Elversberg3–4
Lat RB Leipzig0–3
Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim4–0
Lat FC Augsburg1–3

1. FSV Mainz 05

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
Wat Hamburger SV5–0
Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–0
Lvs 1. FC Union Berlin1–3

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.