Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 4
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach win14%
Draw13%
1. FSV Mainz 05 win73%
- Predicted score
- 1–3
- Over 2.5 goals
- 89%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 11%
- BTTS yes
- 78%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 96%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 76%
- BTTS no
- 22%
- Expected goals
- 1.62 – 3.56
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
1. FSV Mainz 05 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. 1. FSV Mainz 05's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–36.9%
- 1–46.2%
- 1–25.8%
- 2–35.6%
- 2–45.0%
- 2–24.7%
- 1–54.4%
- 0–34.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 0.44 | 1.11 |
| Goals per match | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.78 | 2.11 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 11% | 33% |
Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form
LLWDL
1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form
LWLLL
Recent form
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 15 conceded
- Lat SC Freiburg0–5
- Lvs SV 07 Elversberg3–4
- Lat RB Leipzig0–3
- Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim4–0
- Lat FC Augsburg1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded
- Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
- Wat Hamburger SV5–0
- Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
- Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–0
- Lvs 1. FC Union Berlin1–3
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.