Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 3
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 12 Sept, 15:30 (CEST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- Dortmund, Germany
United Matchday prediction
Borussia Dortmund win71%
Draw17%
SC Paderborn 07 win12%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 2.34 – 0.85
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits SC Paderborn 07 with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Borussia Dortmund's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Borussia Dortmund, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.3%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.8%
- 1–18.2%
- 3–17.5%
- 4–05.2%
- 4–14.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Borussia Dortmund | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 0 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 25% |
Borussia Dortmund recent form
WWWW
SC Paderborn 07 recent form
DLLW
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Villarreal CF3–2
- Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
- Wvs Hamburger SV2–0
- Wat SV Werder Bremen2–0
- Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–2
SC Paderborn 07
0W 1D 1L in the last 2 · 0 scored, 1 conceded
- Lvs SC Freiburg0–1
- Dat 1. FSV Mainz 050–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.