Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Sat 29 Aug, 17:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 29 Aug, 17:30 (BST)
Kick-off (local): Sat 29 Aug, 18:30 (CEST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 1
Venue: Dortmund, Germany

United Matchday prediction

Borussia Dortmund win92%

Draw5%

Hamburger SV win3%

Predicted score: 4–0
Over 2.5 goals: 91%
Under 2.5 goals: 9%
BTTS yes: 60%

Over 1.5 goals: 97%
Over 3.5 goals: 80%
BTTS no: 40%
Expected goals: 4.66 – 0.93

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

4–07.7%
5–07.2%
4–17.2%
5–16.7%
3–06.6%
3–16.2%
6–05.6%
6–15.2%

Team comparison

Statistic	Borussia Dortmund	Hamburger SV
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	3.00	0.75
Goals per match	2.25	0.50
Goals conceded per match	0.50	3.25
Home / away goals scored	5	0
Home / away goals conceded	0	7
Last 5 points	12	3
Last 5 goals scored	9	2
Last 5 goals conceded	2	13
Win percentage	100%	25%

Borussia Dortmund recent form

WWWW

Hamburger SV recent form

LLLW

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

Wat SV Werder Bremen2–0
Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–2
Lat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–1
Wvs SC Freiburg4–0
Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2

Hamburger SV

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

Dat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–1
Wvs SC Freiburg3–2
Wat Eintracht Frankfurt2–1
Lvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
Lat SV Werder Bremen1–3

Team news

Borussia Dortmund

All Borussia Dortmund news →

Hamburger SV

No tracked team news threads open.

All Hamburger SV news →

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.