Championship · Matchweek 14

Birmingham City FC vs Millwall FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Birmingham City FC win64%
Draw18%
Millwall FC win18%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
BTTS yes
67%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
53%
BTTS no
33%
Expected goals
2.53 – 1.32

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Birmingham City FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against Millwall FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Birmingham City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.0%
  • 3–17.6%
  • 1–17.1%
  • 2–06.9%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 3–05.8%
  • 1–05.4%
  • 3–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticBirmingham City FCMillwall FC
Matches played99
Points per match1.781.22
Goals per match1.891.56
Goals conceded per match1.221.78
Home / away goals scored115
Home / away goals conceded710
Last 5 points105
Last 5 goals scored106
Last 5 goals conceded58
Win percentage44%33%

Birmingham City FC recent form

LWDWW

Millwall FC recent form

LDDWL

Recent form

Birmingham City FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Preston North End FC4–0
  • Wat West Bromwich Albion FC1–0
  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Wat Derby County FC2–1
  • Lat Norwich City FC1–2

Millwall FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Swansea City AFC0–1
  • Wat Preston North End FC1–0
  • Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
  • Dat Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 October 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
626
1X2 accuracy
46.8%
BTTS accuracy
56.7%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.5%
Exact score
11.0%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.