Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win60%
Draw21%
SC Paderborn 07 win18%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.97 – 0.98
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits SC Paderborn 07 with an above-average away defensive record. Recent results also favour Bayer 04 Leverkusen, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.3%
- 2–010.1%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–06.6%
- 3–16.5%
- 0–05.2%
- 0–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| Goals per match | 2.22 | 0.89 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.89 | 1.22 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 22% |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form
WWLLW
SC Paderborn 07 recent form
LDWDD
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 12 conceded
- Wat 1. FC Köln2–1
- Lvs VfB Stuttgart2–4
- Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0–3
- Wvs SC Freiburg2–1
- Wat 1. FSV Mainz 054–3
SC Paderborn 07
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
- Dat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–0
- Wvs Hamburger SV1–0
- Dat SV Werder Bremen2–2
- Lvs VfB Stuttgart0–2
Team news
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.