Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win65%
Draw17%
1. FC Union Berlin win18%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 81%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 19%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 63%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 2.83 – 1.51
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
1. FC Union Berlin's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.9%
- 3–17.5%
- 2–26.0%
- 3–25.6%
- 1–15.6%
- 4–15.3%
- 2–05.2%
- 3–04.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| Goals per match | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 4.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 0 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 0 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 1 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 17 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 0% |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form
LWDW
1. FC Union Berlin recent form
DLLL
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat SV 07 Elversberg2–3
- Dvs Hamburger SV1–1
- Lat VfB Stuttgart1–3
- Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
- Wat 1. FC Köln2–1
1. FC Union Berlin
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 9 conceded
- Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
- Wvs FC Augsburg4–0
- Wat 1. FSV Mainz 053–1
- Dvs 1. FC Köln2–2
- Lat RB Leipzig1–3
Team news
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Man United quoted £43m to complete transfer for 'tailor-made' target
- Newcastle United 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen: Mason Miley shows grit but Matthias Jaissle wants signings
- Jarell Quansah: Arsenal in talks with Bayer Leverkusen over signing England and former Liverpool defender
- Arsenal open talks with Bayer Leverkusen over deal for Jarell Quansah
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.